The 2028 Democratic presidential primary is a chaotic mess, with no frontrunner and a party licking its wounds after Trump’s 2024 rout. These contenders are pushing globalist drivel, weak on borders, and drunk on woke. Kamala Harris, fresh off her VP loss, joins ten others vying for the nomination. Below are their bios and odds of winning, based on the latest buzz as of August 4, 2025. From governors to AOC’s pipe dreams, here’s who’s scrambling to lead the Dems’ sinking ship against a MAGA juggernaut.
1. Kamala Harris
Vice President (2021-2025) and 2024 presidential nominee, Harris, 60, lost to Trump, 224-277 electoral votes, per a November 6, 2024, Newsweek report. Former California senator and AG, she’s fundraising in Iowa, signaling a 2028 run, per a July 14, 2025, NBC Los Angeles report. Her border and inflation record draws fire.
Likelihood: Moderate (20%). AtlasIntel’s May 2025 poll gives her 15% support, but 2024’s loss and low approval (39%, per Gallup) hurt her against fresher faces.
Likelihood: Moderate (20%). AtlasIntel’s May 2025 poll gives her 15% support, but 2024’s loss and low approval (39%, per Gallup) hurt her against fresher faces.
2. Pete Buttigieg
Former Transportation Secretary (2021-2025) and South Bend mayor, Buttigieg, 43, is a Navy vet and Rhodes Scholar. His 2020 primary run won young voters. He’s dodged Michigan races, eyeing 2028, per a May 30, 2025, Newsweek report.
Likelihood: High (25%). AtlasIntel’s 31.5% support reflects media savvy and name recognition, but his lack of executive experience could falter against governors.
Likelihood: High (25%). AtlasIntel’s 31.5% support reflects media savvy and name recognition, but his lack of executive experience could falter against governors.
3. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
New York congresswoman since 2019, AOC, 35, is a progressive star with 13 million X followers. Her “Fighting Oligarchy” tour with Sanders boosts her base, per an April 21, 2025, Hill report. She’s untested statewide.
Likelihood: Moderate (15%). AtlasIntel’s 19.4% support is strong, but her far-left stance may alienate moderates in a crowded field.
Likelihood: Moderate (15%). AtlasIntel’s 19.4% support is strong, but her far-left stance may alienate moderates in a crowded field.
4. Gavin Newsom
California governor since 2019, Newsom, 57, is term-limited in 2026. A former San Francisco mayor, he pushes climate and healthcare but irked liberals by hosting Charlie Kirk, per a July 14, 2025, NBC Los Angeles report.
Likelihood: Moderate (15%). His 7.1% in AtlasIntel’s poll and South Carolina trips show ambition, but his elitist image limits swing-state appeal.
Likelihood: Moderate (15%). His 7.1% in AtlasIntel’s poll and South Carolina trips show ambition, but his elitist image limits swing-state appeal.
5. Gretchen Whitmer
Michigan governor since 2019, Whitmer, 53, won big in 2022 with 63% approval, per a July 30, 2025, katiecouric.com report. Term-limited in 2026, she’s hinted at 2028, per The Hill.
Likelihood: High (20%). Her swing-state record makes her a top contender, though gender concerns post-Harris’s loss could hurt, per a November 29, 2024, Hill report.
Likelihood: High (20%). Her swing-state record makes her a top contender, though gender concerns post-Harris’s loss could hurt, per a November 29, 2024, Hill report.
6. Tim Walz
Minnesota governor since 2019 and 2024 VP nominee, Walz, 61, is a former teacher and Guard veteran. His red-district tours show 2028 plans, per a July 19, 2025, New York Magazine report.
Likelihood: Low (10%). His 2024 loss and age (64 by 2028) dim his chances, despite 2026 reelection plans, per a June 7, 2025, New York Times report.
Likelihood: Low (10%). His 2024 loss and age (64 by 2028) dim his chances, despite 2026 reelection plans, per a June 7, 2025, New York Times report.
7. Josh Shapiro
Pennsylvania governor since 2023, Shapiro, 52, was AG and a 2024 VP finalist. Popular in a swing state, he’s focused on 2026 but hasn’t ruled out 2028, per a June 7, 2025, New York Times report.
Likelihood: Moderate (15%). His 7% in Puck’s November 2024 poll shows potential, but a tough 2026 race could stall him.
Likelihood: Moderate (15%). His 7% in Puck’s November 2024 poll shows potential, but a tough 2026 race could stall him.
8. Andy Beshear
Kentucky governor since 2019, Beshear, 47, won twice in a red state. He’s eyeing 2028 and leads the Democratic Governors Association in 2026, per a May 19, 2025, New York Times report.
Likelihood: Moderate (10%). His 8% in Puck’s poll and bipartisan appeal are strong, but his low national profile hurts.
Likelihood: Moderate (10%). His 8% in Puck’s poll and bipartisan appeal are strong, but his low national profile hurts.
9. Cory Booker
New Jersey senator since 2013, Booker, 56, ran in 2020. His 25-hour anti-Trump speech and $1.9 million Meta ads show 2028 ambition, per an April 11, 2025, NBC News report.
Likelihood: Low (10%). AtlasIntel’s 10.4% support is solid, but his Senate-only record weakens him in a crowded moderate lane.
Likelihood: Low (10%). AtlasIntel’s 10.4% support is solid, but his Senate-only record weakens him in a crowded moderate lane.
10. JB Pritzker
Illinois governor since 2019, Pritzker, 60, is a billionaire pushing progressive policies. His anti-Trump rhetoric and New Hampshire fundraisers signal 2028, per a July 14, 2025, NBC Los Angeles report.
Likelihood: Low (10%). His 4.8% in AtlasIntel’s poll and elitist image limit appeal outside liberal strongholds.
Likelihood: Low (10%). His 4.8% in AtlasIntel’s poll and elitist image limit appeal outside liberal strongholds.
11. Raphael Warnock
Georgia senator since 2021, Warnock, 56, is a pastor at MLK’s church. His swing-state wins and oratory skills boost his profile, per a July 30, 2025, katiecouric.com report. He’s up for reelection in 2028.
Likelihood: Low (10%). His charisma shines, but Senate reelection and lack of early state moves cap his chances.
Likelihood: Low (10%). His charisma shines, but Senate reelection and lack of early state moves cap his chances.
Why It Matters: A Fractured Field Faces MAGA Might
The 2028 Democratic primary, kicking off in South Carolina in early 2028, per an April 21, 2025, Hill report, is a free-for-all with no dominant figure—a first since 2004, per a July 19, 2025, New York Magazine report. Buttigieg (25%) and Whitmer (20%) lead with swing-state chops, while Harris (20%) struggles with her 2024 baggage. AOC (15%), Newsom (15%), Shapiro (15%), and Beshear (10%) have momentum, but Walz, Booker, Pritzker, and Warnock (10% each) lag. This is a lineup of globalist has-beens or never-weres, weak on sovereignty and obsessed with identity politics, set to crash against a GOP led by JD Vance or Marco Rubio, per a May 19, 2025, New York Times report. The heartland’s ready to bury them in 2028.